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What has to happen in Beauty

Model as of

This page changes Beauty inside the complete PG model. Every other vertical, corporate programme and valuation assumption stays in the selected portfolio case.

PG forward model
Horizon
Consolidated fair value $133.02 all other verticals held in this portfolio case
Final-quarter revenue $4.68B 21% of company revenue
Explicit segment contribution $16.08B EBITDA less segment capex, before corporate items

Beauty

Basis quarter$3.98B
Final quarter$4.68B
Implied CAGR+3%
Final revenue mix21%

Hair Care, Personal Care and Skin Care. The fastest-growing segment in fiscal 2026 (+7% net sales, +5% organic) and the only one where volume, price and mix were all non-negative in the June quarter.

Last four quarters
2025 Q3 $4.14B Reported
2025 Q4 $4.04B Reported
2026 Q1 $3.87B Reported
2026 Q2 $3.98B Reported
Hair Care (Conditioners, Shampoos, Styling Aids, Treatments)Personal Care (Antiperspirants and Deodorants, Personal Cleansing)Skin Care (Facial Moisturizers, Cleaners and Treatments)
Sequential growth +0.8%/qtr decaying toward +0.8% 0.82%/qtr: eight-quarter compound growth of deseasonalised Beauty net sales, the fastest line in the portfolio.
Beauty

Latest: $4.68B (2031Q2E)

Period Value
2021Q3 $3.96B
2021Q4 $3.93B
2022Q1 $3.39B
2022Q2 $3.46B
2022Q3 $3.96B
2022Q4 $3.81B
2023Q1 $3.49B
2023Q2 $3.75B
2023Q3 $4.10B
2023Q4 $3.85B
2024Q1 $3.55B
2024Q2 $3.72B
2024Q3 $3.89B
2024Q4 $3.85B
2025Q1 $3.49B
2025Q2 $3.73B
2025Q3 $4.14B
2025Q4 $4.04B
2026Q1 $3.87B
2026Q2 $3.98B
2026Q3E $4.38B
2026Q4E $4.23B
2027Q1E $3.88B
2027Q2E $4.11B
2027Q3E $4.52B
2027Q4E $4.37B
2028Q1E $4.01B
2028Q2E $4.24B
2028Q3E $4.67B
2028Q4E $4.51B
2029Q1E $4.14B
2029Q2E $4.38B
2029Q3E $4.83B
2029Q4E $4.66B
2030Q1E $4.28B
2030Q2E $4.53B
2030Q3E $4.99B
2030Q4E $4.82B
2031Q1E $4.42B
2031Q2E $4.68B

Assumptions & reasoning

  • Segment identity, not an apportionment. Sixteen of the twenty quarters are read straight from a filed segment table; the four April-June quarters are derived as fiscal-year segment total less the disclosed nine-month segment column and are marked estimated. P&G publishes no dollar split of Beauty into Hair, Personal and Skin Care - only whole-percent-of-company shares - so none is invented here.
  • The 24.23% EBITDA margin is fiscal 2026, not the June quarter: (segment earnings before income taxes $3,473m + segment depreciation and amortisation $410m) / net sales $16,023m. Segment D&A is disclosed annually only, so a quarterly margin cannot be built without inventing an allocation.
  • Beauty grew 7% in fiscal 2026 but two of those seven points were currency; on P&G's own reconciliation organic growth was 5% for the year and 4% in the June quarter. The 0.82%/quarter driver is fitted to reported, currency-inclusive history, which is why the base case is deliberately below the company's guidance range.
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