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COIN · Forward model · Interest and finance fee income

What has to happen in Interest and finance fee income

Model as of

This page changes Interest and finance fee income inside the complete COIN model. Every other vertical, corporate programme and valuation assumption stays in the selected portfolio case.

COIN forward model
Horizon
Consolidated fair value $82.50 all other verticals held in this portfolio case
Final-quarter revenue $72M 5% of company revenue
Explicit segment contribution $819M EBITDA less segment capex, before corporate items

Interest and finance fee income

Basis quarter$66M
Final quarter$72M
Implied CAGR+2%
Final revenue mix5%

Interest and financing fees on customer credit: the Borrow and Lend products, margin and Prime financing. Coinbase discloses one balance metric that plainly covers only part of the earning base, so this line is modelled as sequential growth with that balance as context.

Last four quarters
2025 Q3 $65M Reported
2025 Q4 $60M Estimated
2026 Q1 $68M Reported
2026 Q2 $66M Reported
Borrow and Lend product interestMargin and Prime financing feesCustomer fiat interest
Sequential growth −2.0%/qtr decaying toward +2.0% Balances at an all-time high but rates falling; Q2 fell 2% on exactly those two forces.
Interest and finance fee income

Latest: $72M (2031Q2E)

Period Value
2025Q1 $63M
2025Q2 $59M
2025Q3 $65M
2025Q4 $60M
2026Q1 $68M
2026Q2 $66M
2026Q3E $65M
2026Q4E $64M
2027Q1E $63M
2027Q2E $63M
2027Q3E $62M
2027Q4E $62M
2028Q1E $62M
2028Q2E $63M
2028Q3E $63M
2028Q4E $63M
2029Q1E $64M
2029Q2E $65M
2029Q3E $65M
2029Q4E $66M
2030Q1E $67M
2030Q2E $68M
2030Q3E $69M
2030Q4E $70M
2031Q1E $71M
2031Q2E $72M

Assumptions & reasoning

  • Average borrow/lend balances reached an all-time high $1,491M in 2026 Q2, up from $199M a year earlier, and this line still fell 2%. The implied 17.7% annualised yield on that balance is the evidence that borrow/lend is only part of the base.
  • Loan receivables of $1,572,354K at 30 June 2026 against $1,354,692K at 31 December 2025 are the closest filed proxy for the earning base, and credit losses on the Borrow book are not separately disclosed.
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