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META · Forward model · Family of Apps — Other

What has to happen in Family of Apps — Other

Model as of

This page changes Family of Apps — Other inside the complete META model. Every other vertical, corporate programme and valuation assumption stays in the selected portfolio case.

META forward model
Horizon
Consolidated fair value $757.11 all other verticals held in this portfolio case
Final-quarter revenue $3.94B 3% of company revenue
Explicit segment contribution $13.18B EBITDA less segment capex, before corporate items

Family of Apps — Other

Basis quarter$1.01B
Final quarter$3.94B
Implied CAGR+31%
Final revenue mix3%

Everything inside Family of Apps that is not an ad: WhatsApp paid messaging through the Business API, Meta Verified subscriptions, and the smaller service fees. It crossed $1B in a quarter for the first time in 2026 Q2, growing 73% year over year, which makes it the fastest line in the company and still 1.7% of it.

Last four quarters
2025 Q3 $690M Reported
2025 Q4 $801M Reported
2026 Q1 $885M Reported
2026 Q2 $1.01B Reported
WhatsApp Business API paid messagingMeta Verified subscriptionsOther service fees
Sequential growth +12.0%/qtr decaying toward +4.0% 12% a quarter, just under the 13.8% posted in 2026 Q2. The base is small enough for this to persist.
Family of Apps — Other

Latest: $3.94B (2031Q2E)

Period Value
2025Q1 $510M
2025Q2 $583M
2025Q3 $690M
2025Q4 $801M
2026Q1 $885M
2026Q2 $1.01B
2026Q3E $1.13B
2026Q4E $1.25B
2027Q1E $1.38B
2027Q2E $1.51B
2027Q3E $1.64B
2027Q4E $1.78B
2028Q1E $1.92B
2028Q2E $2.05B
2028Q3E $2.20B
2028Q4E $2.34B
2029Q1E $2.49B
2029Q2E $2.63B
2029Q3E $2.78B
2029Q4E $2.94B
2030Q1E $3.09B
2030Q2E $3.25B
2030Q3E $3.42B
2030Q4E $3.59B
2031Q1E $3.76B
2031Q2E $3.94B

Assumptions & reasoning

  • Carried as a growth rate because Meta discloses neither the paying business count nor the price per conversation, and inventing both to reach a number it already publishes would add precision without adding information.
  • 12% a quarter decaying to 4% is a deceleration from the 13.8% it just posted. Paid messaging is priced per conversation in markets where WhatsApp is the default channel, so volume can keep compounding well after the growth rate falls.
  • Margin is set below advertising at 35% gliding to 45%: messaging carries carrier and delivery costs an ad impression does not, and Meta Verified is priced against consumer willingness to pay rather than against an auction.
  • This is the line that would absorb any consumer Meta AI subscription, so if that ships and is not broken out, it lands here rather than in Business AI.
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