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MDB · Forward model · MongoDB Enterprise Advanced and other

What has to happen in MongoDB Enterprise Advanced and other

Model as of

This page changes MongoDB Enterprise Advanced and other inside the complete MDB model. Every other vertical, corporate programme and valuation assumption stays in the selected portfolio case.

MDB forward model
Horizon
Consolidated fair value $307.41 all other verticals held in this portfolio case
Final-quarter revenue $220M 18% of company revenue
Explicit segment contribution $2.63B EBITDA less segment capex, before corporate items

MongoDB Enterprise Advanced and other

Basis quarter$154M
Final quarter$220M
Implied CAGR+7%
Final revenue mix18%

The self-managed product: a commercial licence plus support for customers running MongoDB on their own infrastructure, together with a small amount of other subscription revenue. Licence revenue is recognised substantially upfront at contract start, so the line is lumpy - it fell 9.9% sequentially in the basis quarter after rising 23.0% in the one before - and its share of subscription revenue has fallen from about 28% in fiscal 2023 to 23.07% now as Atlas compounds faster. MongoDB discloses no licence count, no seat count and no renewal base for it, so only a base growth rate is defensible.

Last four quarters
2026 Q2 $133M Reported
2026 Q3 $139M Reported
2026 Q4 $170M Reported
2027 Q1 $154M Reported
MongoDB Enterprise Advanced licence and support for self-managed deploymentsOther subscription products including Community support and mobile
Sequential growth +2.6%/qtr decaying toward +1.2% 2.6% a quarter is 10.8% annualised, below the 13.4% year-over-year just delivered, for the mix shift to Atlas.
MongoDB Enterprise Advanced and other

Latest: $220M (2032Q1E)

Period Value
2021Q1 $71M
2021Q2 $71M
2021Q3 $73M
2021Q4 $79M
2022Q1 $81M
2022Q2 $80M
2022Q3 $87M
2022Q4 $102M
2023Q1 $105M
2023Q2 $98M
2023Q3 $109M
2023Q4 $115M
2024Q1 $117M
2024Q2 $142M
2024Q3 $131M
2024Q4 $131M
2025Q1 $123M
2025Q2 $124M
2025Q3 $150M
2025Q4 $142M
2026Q1 $136M
2026Q2 $133M
2026Q3 $139M
2026Q4 $170M
2027Q1 $154M
2027Q2E $158M
2027Q3E $162M
2027Q4E $165M
2028Q1E $169M
2028Q2E $173M
2028Q3E $176M
2028Q4E $179M
2029Q1E $183M
2029Q2E $186M
2029Q3E $189M
2029Q4E $193M
2030Q1E $196M
2030Q2E $199M
2030Q3E $202M
2030Q4E $205M
2031Q1E $208M
2031Q2E $211M
2031Q3E $214M
2031Q4E $217M
2032Q1E $220M

Assumptions & reasoning

  • This is the exact dollar 'MongoDB Enterprise Advanced and other' line from the disaggregation table, NOT the release's supplemental 'MongoDB Enterprise Advanced: % of Subscription Revenue' of 21%. The two are different measures: the disaggregated line is 23.07% of subscription revenue because it also carries roughly $13.8 million of non-EA other subscription revenue, and deriving the vertical from the 21% would understate it by about that much.
  • Tested for seasonality on the same centred four-quarter moving-average method as Atlas and left ASEASONAL. The apparent 5.4-point fourth-quarter lift is swamped by window-to-window spread of up to 17.6 points inside a single fiscal quarter, with individual fiscal Q2 observations running from 0.931 to 1.107. That is upfront licence recognition landing in different quarters year to year, not a season, and leaving the line flat is the finding rather than a gap.
  • The 89.0% gross margin is ASSUMED. It is the other half of the Atlas/EA split that reproduces the disclosed 77.06% blended non-GAAP subscription margin; MongoDB never publishes a product-level cost of revenue for either line.
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