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BE · Forward model · Electricity — Bloom-owned systems

What has to happen in Electricity — Bloom-owned systems

Model as of

This page changes Electricity — Bloom-owned systems inside the complete BE model. Every other vertical, corporate programme and valuation assumption stays in the selected portfolio case.

BE forward model
Horizon
Consolidated fair value $83.16 all other verticals held in this portfolio case
Final-quarter revenue $6M 0% of company revenue
Explicit segment contribution $38M EBITDA less segment capex, before corporate items

Electricity — Bloom-owned systems

Basis quarter$10M
Final quarter$6M
Implied CAGR−9%
Final revenue mix0%

Legacy power sales from systems Bloom owns and operates itself, sold under PPAs. Bloom is not adding to this fleet — it now sells the box or lets a financier own it — so the line is in slow runoff and was 0.9% of revenue in the basis quarter. It is carried because it reconciles the reported total, not because it moves fair value.

Last four quarters
2025 Q3 $10M Reported
2025 Q4 $10M Estimated
2026 Q1 $10M Reported
2026 Q2 $10M Reported
PPA power sales from Bloom-owned Energy Servers
Sequential growth −3.0%/qtr decaying toward −2.0% Revenue fell from $26.95M in 2025 Q1 to $9.95M in 2026 Q2 as PPAs expire and no owned systems are added.
Electricity — Bloom-owned systems

Latest: $6M (2031Q2E)

Period Value
2023Q1 $20M
2023Q2 $20M
2023Q3 $26M
2023Q4 $16M
2024Q1 $14M
2024Q2 $14M
2024Q3 $14M
2024Q4 $11M
2025Q1 $27M
2025Q2 $13M
2025Q3 $10M
2025Q4 $10M
2026Q1 $10M
2026Q2 $10M
2026Q3E $10M
2026Q4E $9M
2027Q1E $9M
2027Q2E $9M
2027Q3E $9M
2027Q4E $8M
2028Q1E $8M
2028Q2E $8M
2028Q3E $8M
2028Q4E $8M
2029Q1E $7M
2029Q2E $7M
2029Q3E $7M
2029Q4E $7M
2030Q1E $7M
2030Q2E $7M
2030Q3E $6M
2030Q4E $6M
2031Q1E $6M
2031Q2E $6M

Assumptions & reasoning

  • Quarterly revenue is lumpy because it includes periodic true-ups: 2025 Q1 was $26.95M against $12.81M the following quarter. The trend is down; the quarter-to-quarter path is noise.
  • This is the only vertical using a growth driver, and the reason is that the underlying owned fleet is never disclosed in megawatts and is not being added to.
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