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What has to happen in Storage

Model as of

This page changes Storage inside the complete DELL model. Every other vertical, corporate programme and valuation assumption stays in the selected portfolio case.

DELL forward model
Horizon
Consolidated fair value $201.10 all other verticals held in this portfolio case
Final-quarter revenue $5.50B 12% of company revenue
Explicit segment contribution $7.73B EBITDA less segment capex, before corporate items

Storage

Basis quarter$4.33B
Final quarter$5.50B
Implied CAGR+5%
Final revenue mix12%

The steady, high-margin ballast inside ISG. $4,334M in the basis quarter, up 8% year over year - the slowest line in the company and, on any reasonable reading of the segment blend, the richest. Nine quarters of disclosed history sit in a $3.8B-$4.8B band with a clear fiscal-Q4 peak. Management called out record demand growth in Dell IP storage, PowerStore and PowerScale, attached to AI data pipelines.

Last four quarters
2026 Q2 $3.86B Reported
2026 Q3 $3.98B Reported
2026 Q4 $4.80B Reported
2027 Q1 $4.33B Reported
Dell IP storage: PowerStore, PowerScale, PowerMax, ObjectScaleThird-party and attached storage
Sequential growth +2.0%/qtr decaying toward +1.0% Nine disclosed quarters sit in a $3.8-4.8B band; mid-single-digit annual growth with a fiscal-Q4 peak is the shape.
Storage

Latest: $5.50B (2032Q1E)

Period Value
2025Q1 $3.76B
2025Q2 $3.97B
2025Q3 $4.00B
2025Q4 $4.72B
2026Q1 $4.00B
2026Q2 $3.86B
2026Q3 $3.98B
2026Q4 $4.80B
2027Q1 $4.33B
2027Q2E $4.42B
2027Q3E $4.50B
2027Q4E $4.57B
2028Q1E $4.63B
2028Q2E $4.69B
2028Q3E $4.75B
2028Q4E $4.81B
2029Q1E $4.86B
2029Q2E $4.92B
2029Q3E $4.97B
2029Q4E $5.02B
2030Q1E $5.07B
2030Q2E $5.13B
2030Q3E $5.18B
2030Q4E $5.23B
2031Q1E $5.28B
2031Q2E $5.34B
2031Q3E $5.39B
2031Q4E $5.45B
2032Q1E $5.50B

Assumptions & reasoning

  • This is the one ISG line whose history needs nothing derived: nine consecutive quarters, every one of them printed in a release reconciliation table.
  • Storage has grown between 1% and 8% year over year for two years. It is the reason this model is not a pure AI bet, and it is also far too small to offset an AI-server disappointment: $4.3B a quarter against $16.1B.
  • Its margin contribution is invisible in the filings - it is pooled into the single ISG operating income figure. The 13.0% terminal margin here sits above the ISG blend on the judgement that storage is the richest line in the segment, and that judgement is the assumption, not a disclosure.
  • No seasonality factors are applied even though the fiscal-Q4 peak is visible in the history, because a four-factor seasonal cut fitted on nine quarters would add precision the disclosure does not support.
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