SHOP News
R40 coverage and dated third-party headlines for Shopify Inc. (SHOP).
R40 Coverage
Shopify's Best Rule of 40 Score in Five Quarters, and Its Gross Margin Kept Falling
Shopify Q2: revenue $3.58B up 34%, GMV $115.6B up 32%, free cash flow $654M at 18.3%. R40 of 51.85, best in five quarters. Gross margin fell again.
Shopify Q4 2025: $3.67B Revenue Beat, $2B Buyback — So Why Is the Stock Down?
Shopify beats on revenue and GMV, announces $2B buyback, guides to 30%+ Q1 growth — but the stock drops 9%. We break down what spooked investors and why the selloff may be overdone.
February 2026
SHOP Trades ~38% Below Analyst Targets
Shares at ~$112 vs. consensus target ~$180; Simply Wall St flags undervalued by ~12%, ecosystem partnerships (AI/subscription migrations) growing despite dip.
Sharp Selloff: SHOP Down ~16% YTD
Stock plunged amid AI disruption fears in software and valuation reset after 2025 surge; analysts maintain positive long-term view on agentic commerce.
Analyst Upgrades Ahead of Earnings (Arete to Buy)
Upgraded to Buy post-selloff on strong Q4 outlook; focus on 'solid fundamentals' and agentic commerce/AI tailwinds.
1 Growth Stock Down 16% to Buy and Hold
Contrarian buy case despite YTD decline; strong 2025 momentum (32%+ revenue growth in Q3), secular e-commerce/AI tailwinds outweigh volatility.
Major Single-Day Drop (~10%)
Stock fell sharply to ~$119 amid market rotation and software sector pressure; sparked buy-the-dip commentary.
Upgrading Shopify On Agentic Commerce Inflection Point
Bullish upgrade to Buy ahead of Q4; AI integration expands addressable market, management guides 25-29% sales growth, implies ~27% upside.