Earnings release

Moderna, Inc. Moderna, Inc. · Q2 2026

ReportedJul 31, 2026
Period endedJun 30, 2026
Rule of 40n/m

Consensus vs reported

EPS IN LINE
-$1.97
vs -$1.97 expected
QoQ+42.1%
YoY+7.5%
Revenue BEAT +14%
$145M
vs $126.7M expected
QoQ−62.7%
YoY+2.1%

QoQ and YoY are measured on the same basis as each panel's own consensus, so no panel compares two different measures.

The quarter in short

Revenue $145M, up 2.1% year over year and down 62.7% on the quarter. EPS −$1.97, up 7.5% year over year and 42.1% on the quarter. Free cash flow −$563M, up 38.9% year over year and 18.6% on the quarter. EPS came in line with consensus.

Reported this quarter

Each tile opens the full quarterly series. Download the numbers as CSV or JSON.

What we learned

  1. Full-year cash-cost guidance was lowered again, to about $4 billion. CFO James Mock said the figure, which excludes stock-based compensation, depreciation and amortization, improved $0.2 billion from the prior guide — the same discipline behind the 61% burn reduction since 2024.
  2. Moderna's own flu-season vaccine already took 24% of the US retail COVID market. President Stephen Hoge said mNEXSPIKE reached 34% among adults 65 and older with about 59% real-world effectiveness in that group — evidence the existing commercial business, not just the pipeline, is gaining share.
  3. A dedicated Massachusetts plant could ship the melanoma therapy as soon as next year. President Stephen Hoge said manufacturing is already being built out for launch, "if all went perfectly to plan" — the readiness question this piece says neither company has priced.
  4. Cash and investments fell to $6.9 billion, and $950 million more leaves in the next quarter. CFO James Mock said the litigation settlement paid in July, on top of the $563 million quarterly burn, will hit the September-quarter balance rather than this one.

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Coverage around this release

Estimate against reported

$0.54−$1.69−$3.912024 Q3 reported $0.032024 Q32024 Q4 reported −$2.912024 Q42025 Q1 reported −$2.522025 Q12025 Q2 reported −$2.132025 Q22025 Q3 reported −$0.512025 Q32025 Q4 reported −$2.112025 Q42026 Q1 reported −$3.402026 Q12026 Q2 estimate −$1.972026 Q2 reported −$1.972026 Q2
Our published estimate Reported EPS
QuarterEstimateReportedSurprise
2024 Q3 — $0.03 —
2024 Q4 — −$2.91 —
2025 Q1 — −$2.52 —
2025 Q2 — −$2.13 —
2025 Q3 — −$0.51 —
2025 Q4 — −$2.11 —
2026 Q1 — −$3.40 —
2026 Q2 −$1.97 −$1.97 0%

Estimates are the consensus we published on our own preview for that quarter; quarters we did not preview carry the reported figure only. Where a consensus was set on a non-GAAP basis, the reported column shows that same measure.

Sources & downloads

Company Published by the company on the day of the release.
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Q2 2026 across the sector

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