Earnings call

Occidental Petroleum Corporation Occidental Petroleum Corporation · Q2 2026 call

Call heldAug 6, 2026
Time1:00 p.m. Eastern
CEORichard Jackson

What the CEO argued

Jackson used his second call as chief executive to replace a quarter with a decade. Rather than sell the June quarter's numbers — a record midstream result, the highest free cash flow since 2022 — he argued that Occidental has quietly rebuilt itself into a company that can add more than $4 billion of annual cash flow by 2030 without pumping a single extra barrel, and that roughly 85% of that arrives even if oil is cheap. His case rests on three structural changes rather than on price: interest expense falling by about $740 million a year as principal debt goes from $11.8 billion toward $10 billion, sustaining capital falling by $900 million as advanced recovery pulls the base decline rate from about 25% to 20%, and roughly $400 million of direct-air-capture spending rolling off once STRATOS moves from construction to operations. On what to do with the cash he was deliberately conservative — debt first, then the 2029 preferred redemption, buybacks last, and any growth only if it is "measured, efficiency-led and clearly value additive."

More from Richard Jackson

What they said

What the debt paydown bought
We have already reduced our principal debt to $11.8 billion. Our accelerated debt reduction lowers our go-forward annualized interest by approximately $630 million compared to 2025 interest payments. This structural savings helped enable an additional 8% increase to the quarterly dividend this year as approved by our Board and announced yesterday.
Richard Jackson · President and Chief Executive Officer
The number the call was built to deliver
Looking ahead, we see a clear pathway to add over $4 billion of annual sustainable cash flow by 2030. This represents an approximate 95% annualized growth compared to 2025.
Richard Jackson · President and Chief Executive Officer
Why he says the plan does not need higher oil or more barrels
Importantly, this increase is driven by durable improvements across the business, including lower-cost, lower sustaining capital and a stronger balance sheet. Additionally, we can deliver this cash flow without increasing production and can expect approximately 85% to be achieved at even much lower prices.
Richard Jackson · President and Chief Executive Officer
The resource base behind the 2030 plan
Today, our resources totaled 16.5 billion BOE and are well understood and balanced, providing more than a 30-year low-cost development runway across conventional and unconventional assets.
Richard Jackson · President and Chief Executive Officer
The decline-rate bet, in one number
Second, we expect lower sustaining capital by $900 million through continued improvements in capital efficiency and from a lower total Oxy base decline. This base decline improvement is driven by our advanced recovery projects, which are expected to support a decline rate reduction from approximately 25% to 20% by 2030.
Richard Jackson · President and Chief Executive Officer
The carbon business stops consuming cash next year
Finally, we will see a reduction in Low Carbon Ventures capital spending. With STRATOS moving from development to operations, approximately $400 million of LCV capital will fully roll off beginning next year.
Richard Jackson · President and Chief Executive Officer
Where STRATOS actually stands
At STRATOS, we're making good progress on the nontechnology-related repair and commissioning of Trains 3 and 4. Based on our current outlook, we expect full plant commissioning to begin around the end of the year as we transition to operations in 2027.
Richard Jackson · President and Chief Executive Officer
The test any growth spending has to pass
As we consider future reinvestment for growth, we appreciate we have a deep inventory of advantaged, well-understood resources for low-cost development. However, when we invest for growth, we want to be thoughtful. Simply put, it must be measured, efficiency-led and clearly value additive.
Richard Jackson · President and Chief Executive Officer
The quarter's headline cash number
We also generated approximately $3 billion of free cash flow during the quarter, our highest level since the third quarter of 2022.
Richard Jackson · President and Chief Executive Officer
The segment that broke its own record
Midstream and Marketing outperformed in the quarter, setting a new quarterly record with adjusted earnings of approximately $960 million, which was more than double the midpoint of guidance.
Sunil Mathew · Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Debt at a seven-year low
Since our last call, we reduced principal debt by $1.5 billion to $11.8 billion, the lowest level since the second quarter of 2019. This brings our go-forward annual interest run rate to approximately $760 million, which is approximately $630 million lower than our interest payment in 2025.
Sunil Mathew · Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
The net figure, after the cash pile
Net principal debt is now $7.6 billion, reflecting the $4.2 billion of cash we have built.
Sunil Mathew · Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
How little has to be refinanced this decade
Near-term debt maturities remain low with only $414 million due through the end of 2029.
Sunil Mathew · Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Buybacks are last in line, and he says so
Share repurchase actions will remain opportunistic and any continuous share buyback program will be a lower priority until the redemption of the preferred.
Sunil Mathew · Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
The first real 2027 capital marker
Looking to 2027, as we mentioned in the previous calls, our starting point for capital spending is expected to be $5.9 billion. […] At that level of investment, you can assume relatively flat production in line with 2026.
Sunil Mathew · Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
How much of the $4 billion lands early
So between '26, and '27, it's going to be around $2 billion, which is approximately or close to 50% of the $4 billion savings.
Sunil Mathew · Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
What leverage looks like at the $10 billion milestone
In terms of leverage metrics, last year, our debt-to-EBITDA based on the actual price of $65 WTI was around 1.9x. And once we get our principal debt down to $10 billion, our debt-to-EBITDA normalized for $65 WTI is almost going to be half of that.
Sunil Mathew · Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Why waterflooding is the decline-rate lever
As you know, Oxy is an industry leader in water flooding. We injected water prior to CO2 in all the large Permian EOR fields, also internationally with great success right through to today in Oman, where we use it to reduce declines from 19% to around 7% once complete, extending field lives.
Kenneth Dillon · Senior Vice President and President, International Oil and Gas Operations
How much faster the rigs have got
Our drilling efficiency continues to get better. We're almost 50% better in terms of well delivery per rig.
Richard Jackson · President and Chief Executive Officer
Fewer rigs, more wells
based on the efficiencies we have seen so far in Permian, the plan is to drop three rigs in Q4. And but we're actually expecting to have 15 more wells online in Permian.
Sunil Mathew · Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Where the data-center build-out fits an oil company
As you think about power generation, data center build-out, one outcome is the ability to capture CO2 off of those facilities. […] And so CO2 and power are 30% of the operating cost of an EOR barrel.
Richard Jackson · President and Chief Executive Officer
The Powder River Basin's quiet promotion
From a well productivity standpoint, we're about 41% above the industry average using a six-month oil productivity basis. Well cost is down about 10% this year.
Babatunde Cole · Vice President, Investor Relations
Ten years of shale CO2 pilots, quantified
We've seen consistent more than 45% uplift in terms of EUR. So if you're thinking about 10% average recovery in an unconventional well, now you're talking getting up to 15%. We think ultimately, as we continue to cycle CO2, that can get up to 20%.
Richard Jackson · President and Chief Executive Officer
The negative gas price, explained
I mean, I think in the second quarter, our realized gas price was negative $1.50. So it was almost a $2.50 swing compared to the first quarter.
Sunil Mathew · Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

In the order they were said. Pick a name to read only that speaker.

On the call

  • Operator — Operator
  • Babatunde Cole — Vice President, Investor Relations
  • Richard Jackson — President and Chief Executive Officer
  • Sunil Mathew — Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
  • Nitin Kumar — Mizuho Securities
  • Douglas Leggate — Wolfe Research
  • Kenneth Dillon — Senior Vice President and President, International Oil and Gas Operations
  • Neil Mehta — Goldman Sachs
  • Betty Jiang — Barclays
  • Arun Jayaram — JPMorgan
  • Sam Margolin — Wells Fargo

About these quotes

Every passage above is quoted verbatim from Occidental Petroleum Corporation's Q2 2026 earnings call of Aug 6, 2026, checked against the recording's transcription word for word. Occidental webcasts its earnings calls and keeps the replay, along with an edited transcript prepared by LSEG StreetEvents, on its own investor relations site — that recording is the authoritative version of this call. The passages below are quoted from the call, not reproduced from it: the call is Occidental's, and the text that circulates afterwards is a transcription of it made by someone else. Every quote on this page was checked word for word against that transcription before it was published, and everything not published stays unpublished. Figures spoken on a call are unaudited; the audited version is in the company's own release and filings. Figures spoken on a call are management's own and are checked against the release before they are used anywhere else on this site.