Morgan Stanley · Q2 2026 call
What the CEO argued
Pick opened on the number the firm has been steering at for years: $10 trillion of client assets across Wealth and Investment Management, reached in a quarter of record revenue and record EPS. His argument for the rest of the call was that Morgan Stanley is deliberately over-capitalised — $18 billion of CET1 accreted over ten quarters, 300 to 350 basis points of excess — and that the first claim on that capital is organic, lent to clients who are asking for it rather than spent on a deal; bolt-on candidates are reviewed as a discipline, but "the bias continues to be to go organic". Pressed by Mike Mayo on the AI capital-expenditure cycle he gave the longest answer of the call: data-centre capex running at about $850 billion this year against a $575 billion forecast made in late 2025, roughly $1.3 trillion penciled in for 2027, and a research view that the full cycle could reach something like $10 trillion of AI compute — which would put the industry 10 to 15 percent of the way through it. He would not put a share of that on Morgan Stanley beyond calling it meaningful, and attached explicit humility to the forecast. On the results he refused to move the wealth-margin target mid-year, saying of the 30 percent just printed that "it's not a number we're solving for", and framed the whole quarter as evidence for "Higher highs to demonstrate operating leverage, but higher lows".
What they said
In the order they were said. Pick a name to read only that speaker.
On the call
- Operator
- Ted Pick — Chairman and CEO, Morgan Stanley
- Sharon Yeshaya — EVP and CFO, Morgan Stanley
- Ebrahim Poonawala — Analyst, Bank of America
- Glenn Schorr — Analyst, Evercore
- Mike Mayo — Analyst, Wells Fargo Securities
- Chris McGratty — Analyst, KBW
- Steven Chubak — Analyst, Wolfe Research
- Erika Najarian — Analyst, UBS
- Gerard Cassidy — Analyst, RBC
About these quotes
Every passage above is quoted verbatim from Morgan Stanley's Q2 2026 earnings call of Jul 15, 2026, checked against the recording's transcription word for word. Morgan Stanley states at the start of the call that the presentation may not be duplicated or reproduced without its consent, and the text this page was built from is a third party's transcription of it. So this page quotes from the call rather than reproducing it. The company's own webcast and replay are in the investor relations section of morganstanley.com. Figures spoken on a call are management's own and are checked against the release before they are used anywhere else on this site.