Earnings call

Morgan Stanley Morgan Stanley · Q2 2026 call

Call heldJul 15, 2026
Time8:30 a.m. Eastern
CEOTed Pick

What the CEO argued

Pick opened on the number the firm has been steering at for years: $10 trillion of client assets across Wealth and Investment Management, reached in a quarter of record revenue and record EPS. His argument for the rest of the call was that Morgan Stanley is deliberately over-capitalised — $18 billion of CET1 accreted over ten quarters, 300 to 350 basis points of excess — and that the first claim on that capital is organic, lent to clients who are asking for it rather than spent on a deal; bolt-on candidates are reviewed as a discipline, but "the bias continues to be to go organic". Pressed by Mike Mayo on the AI capital-expenditure cycle he gave the longest answer of the call: data-centre capex running at about $850 billion this year against a $575 billion forecast made in late 2025, roughly $1.3 trillion penciled in for 2027, and a research view that the full cycle could reach something like $10 trillion of AI compute — which would put the industry 10 to 15 percent of the way through it. He would not put a share of that on Morgan Stanley beyond calling it meaningful, and attached explicit humility to the forecast. On the results he refused to move the wealth-margin target mid-year, saying of the 30 percent just printed that "it's not a number we're solving for", and framed the whole quarter as evidence for "Higher highs to demonstrate operating leverage, but higher lows".

More from Ted Pick

What they said

The $10 trillion milestone, named in the first minute
Across Wealth and Investment Management, total client assets stand at $10 trillion, fulfilling a Morgan Stanley strategic milestone. […] with the passage of time, we seek to grow standalone wealth assets from the current $8 trillion- $10 trillion.
Ted Pick · Chairman and CEO, Morgan Stanley
The two themes he says now define the firm's environment
The first is the accelerating adoption of artificial intelligence, not only by consumers but more importantly across the enterprise, where its potential for enhanced efficiencies and productivity is only beginning to be realized. […] The second is the return of geopolitics as a defining force in the global economy, as renewed competition among nation-states and regional powers is reshaping supply chains, capital allocation, and economic prospects across our client universe.
Ted Pick · Chairman and CEO, Morgan Stanley
The equities quarter, in the CFO's words
Our franchise delivered an exceptional quarter, with revenues reaching a record of $6.3 billion, driven by increases across all products and regions. Asia was strong, with the breadth of activity extending across the region.
Sharon Yeshaya · EVP and CFO, Morgan Stanley
The one line that went backwards
Other revenues reflected a loss of $152 million, largely driven by mark-to-market losses on corporate loans held for sale, inclusive of hedges.
Sharon Yeshaya · EVP and CFO, Morgan Stanley
The wealth pre-tax margin, and what it is paying for
The pre-tax margin was 30.5%, a reflection of the scale of our business and the intentional strategic investments for our future.
Sharon Yeshaya · EVP and CFO, Morgan Stanley
The guide the release does not carry: net interest income
Sequentially, deposits grew to $436 billion, and net interest income increased to $2.3 billion. NII outperformed on higher than expected sweep balances and strong loan growth. For the third quarter, we expect a modest sequential increase in NII.
Sharon Yeshaya · EVP and CFO, Morgan Stanley
Where the record $148 billion of net new assets came from
Net new assets were a record of $148 billion. Stock plan IPO flows represented just over half of the overall NNA this quarter, more than offsetting seasonal taxes, illustrating the strength of the workplace channel as a strong contributor to the top of the funnel.
Sharon Yeshaya · EVP and CFO, Morgan Stanley
Parametric, the piece of Investment Management that matters
Parametric remains a key differentiator, with over $760 billion in AUM today.
Sharon Yeshaya · EVP and CFO, Morgan Stanley
The tax rate to plan the rest of the year on
Our quarterly tax rate was 23.1%. […] We continue to expect our annual tax rate to be between 22% and 23%, which similar to prior years, will exhibit some quarterly volatility.
Sharon Yeshaya · EVP and CFO, Morgan Stanley
How deep the workplace pipeline actually goes
we have about 70% of the top 100 unicorns by market cap in terms of our workplace pipeline
Sharon Yeshaya · EVP and CFO, Morgan Stanley
Whether a 30% wealth margin becomes the new target
The reality is that 30 is a benchmark now we've hit a number of times, but it's not a number we're solving for.
Ted Pick · Chairman and CEO, Morgan Stanley
Twenty million relationships, and what that is up from
We're currently at 20 million relationships. Do you remember when those numbers, Glenn, it's not that long ago, we were talking about 10, we were talking about 12, we were talking about 14, and those were big numbers.
Sharon Yeshaya · EVP and CFO, Morgan Stanley
Why the excess capital is not being spent down
We have, depending on how you measure it, 300- 350 basis points of excess CET1 capital, depending on which test, which period, and all that. We have a real SLR capacity too. The question becomes, is there demand for that capital? I can tell you that there is a lot of demand for that capital inside the four walls of our global firm.
Ted Pick · Chairman and CEO, Morgan Stanley
Bolt-on acquisitions: looking, but organic wins the first dollar
Are we seeing opportunities come across the transom that are interesting? We are. Are we potentially looking at stuff that could bolt onto the strategy? We are. I would tell you right now, the bias continues to be to go organic.
Ted Pick · Chairman and CEO, Morgan Stanley
How far into the AI capex cycle we are, with the numbers behind it
The forecast for 2026 on data center CapEx that was taken late last year, around November of 2025, was that $575 billion would be spent this year, and it's coming in at about $850 billion. That for 2027, the view was it would be around $700 billion, and now it's projected at $1.3 trillion. 2028 could be at $1.5 trillion. […] You're basically looking at us being around 10%-15% of the way through the investment cycle.
Ted Pick · Chairman and CEO, Morgan Stanley
The $10 trillion of AI compute, and the caveat attached to it
Roughly $1 trillion of cloud compute times 10 is $10 trillion of AI compute. […] It's totally reasonable to say that there are going to be periods when technology or capital investment is ahead of adoption, or that the fight for primacy in a piece of this chain will deliver poor allocated investment outcomes.
Ted Pick · Chairman and CEO, Morgan Stanley
How much of that capital Morgan Stanley expects to intermediate
I wouldn't attach a percentage to it, but I would say it's going to be meaningful.
Ted Pick · Chairman and CEO, Morgan Stanley
Why she thinks the banking cycle still has room
we're not yet at the levels that we've seen historically in different areas in terms of what's actually been announced or been completed. There's clearly more to go there.
Sharon Yeshaya · EVP and CFO, Morgan Stanley
The correction to the idea that this is a U.S. play
For a lot of our investors and for a bunch in your community, the view is that we're a U.S. play, right? […] We're also an Asia house. Very much an Asia house.
Ted Pick · Chairman and CEO, Morgan Stanley
What management is watching for the crack
Higher highs to demonstrate operating leverage, but higher lows. Higher lows, really important to us so that we can continue to make the case to you and to our shareholders that we deserve a healthy PE multiple. That's got to be a function of durability.
Ted Pick · Chairman and CEO, Morgan Stanley

In the order they were said. Pick a name to read only that speaker.

On the call

  • Operator
  • Ted Pick — Chairman and CEO, Morgan Stanley
  • Sharon Yeshaya — EVP and CFO, Morgan Stanley
  • Ebrahim Poonawala — Analyst, Bank of America
  • Glenn Schorr — Analyst, Evercore
  • Mike Mayo — Analyst, Wells Fargo Securities
  • Chris McGratty — Analyst, KBW
  • Steven Chubak — Analyst, Wolfe Research
  • Erika Najarian — Analyst, UBS
  • Gerard Cassidy — Analyst, RBC

About these quotes

Every passage above is quoted verbatim from Morgan Stanley's Q2 2026 earnings call of Jul 15, 2026, checked against the recording's transcription word for word. Morgan Stanley states at the start of the call that the presentation may not be duplicated or reproduced without its consent, and the text this page was built from is a third party's transcription of it. So this page quotes from the call rather than reproducing it. The company's own webcast and replay are in the investor relations section of morganstanley.com. Figures spoken on a call are management's own and are checked against the release before they are used anywhere else on this site.