Earnings call

Intel Corporation Intel Corporation · Q2 2026 call

Call heldJul 23, 2026
Time2:00 p.m. Pacific
CEOLip-Bu Tan

What the CEO argued

Tan's argument was that Intel's problem has changed shape: it is no longer whether the factories can produce, but whether they can produce enough. He put the seventh straight quarter of beating his own guidance behind a claim that demand is now outrunning supply across the whole industry — logic wafers, memory and substrates alike — and that the shortage will not clear for the foreseeable future. Against that he set three assets he says nobody else has together: the x86 CPU franchise, advanced packaging, and the wafer foundry network. The concrete commitments were 18A running above internal volume targets with yields ahead of plan, and a decision taken during the quarter to commit 14A to high-volume production in 2028 — which is what the capital-spending raise is paying for. He was careful to say he does not authorise capex before he sees yields, IP readiness and customer engagement, and equally careful to concede that on parts of the CPU roadmap Intel is still behind and trying to leapfrog.

More from Lip-Bu Tan

What they said

Seven quarters of clearing his own bar
Q2 was another quarter of solid execution. Revenue, gross margin, earnings per share were above our guidance. This marks the seventh consecutive quarter of exceeding our financial expectations.
Lip-Bu Tan · Chief Executive Officer, Intel
The shortage, stated plainly
Industry is facing one of the most severe supply constraints in its history across leading-edge logic, silicon wafers, memory, and substrates. These shortages will persist for the foreseeable future.
Lip-Bu Tan · Chief Executive Officer, Intel
The three assets the turnaround is being bet on
Intel is well-positioned to benefit from this strong, sustained demand with three strategically important assets: Our x86 CPU franchise, our advanced packaging technology, and our vast wafer foundry network.
Lip-Bu Tan · Chief Executive Officer, Intel
What 18A actually did in the quarter
During Q2, our factories across Intel 7, Intel 3, and Intel 18A exceeded internal volume targets, driven by improving yields, better cycle times, and increasing wafer starts. 18A output increased meaningfully in the quarter. Yields continue to track ahead of expectations.
Lip-Bu Tan · Chief Executive Officer, Intel
The 14A decision, taken in this quarter
we remain on track for 14A risk production for our internal products in the second half of 2027, and we make the decision in Q2 to fully commit to high volume ramp in 2028.
Lip-Bu Tan · Chief Executive Officer, Intel
How far above the guide the quarter landed
Second quarter revenue was $16.1 billion, $1.8 billion above the midpoint of our guide. Collectively, our AI-driven businesses grew greater than 70% year-over-year, including record data center growth, and contributed approximately 70% of revenue.
David Zinsner · Chief Financial Officer, Intel
The data centre line that carried the print
DCAI revenue was $6.3 billion, an increase of 24% sequentially and 59% year-over-year, meaningfully ahead of expectations. The result was driven by strong demand across hyperscale and enterprise.
David Zinsner · Chief Financial Officer, Intel
External foundry revenue, in one number
External foundry revenue was $293 million in the quarter.
David Zinsner · Chief Financial Officer, Intel
What the foundry still loses, and what it costs to build
Intel Foundry has driven down the cost of our primary Panther Lake SKU by roughly 50% year-to-date and is on track for an additional 20% this year, with further meaningful reductions planned in 2027.
David Zinsner · Chief Financial Officer, Intel
The PC market they are guiding into
we expect PC consumption to be sub-seasonal in the second half of the year and down low double-digits percent for all of 2026, impacted by rising memory prices and constraints.
David Zinsner · Chief Financial Officer, Intel
The capex raise, this year
Due to strong customer demand signals, we’re raising our outlook for 2026 and now expect our CapEx to be more than $20 billion, which is up significantly versus our expectations entering the year.
David Zinsner · Chief Financial Officer, Intel
And next year goes higher still
we’re forecasting 2027 capital expenditures to be significantly above the 2026 levels, with the vast majority spent across our U.S. network. In fact, as we look back from 2021 through 2026, our total capital spending in tools and space in the U.S. is approaching $100 billion, significantly higher than any other semiconductor company over that timeframe.
David Zinsner · Chief Financial Officer, Intel
Where he admits Intel still trails
Some areas we are still behind, but we are catching up very fast and we try to leapfrog some of the CPU architecture, and we are putting major effort into it. Time will tell.
Lip-Bu Tan · Chief Executive Officer, Intel
The subsidy behind the capex number
we’re getting $0.35 on the dollar back from the investment tax credit on everything we invest in the U.S.
David Zinsner · Chief Financial Officer, Intel
The analyst who was surprised by the wrong segment
I think everybody had an inkling the data center was going to be pretty strong. I was surprised at the client strength
Stacy Rasgon · Analyst, Bernstein Research
Why client beat: price, not units
Client obviously exceeded expectations. I would say it was largely ASP, of which some of that was mix related, some of that was our own like-for-like changes in ASPs where we thought we had seen some inflation on our cost and needed to pass that on to the end customer.
David Zinsner · Chief Financial Officer, Intel
Supply will not catch demand this year
I would point out that while things will improve, we will not catch up. We will be behind in the fourth quarter.
David Zinsner · Chief Financial Officer, Intel
The precondition he puts on spending money
I don’t put CapEx unless I see the yield performance, the IP is ready to serve the customer, and also customer engagement, the level of engagement I see.
Lip-Bu Tan · Chief Executive Officer, Intel
What the balance sheet can carry
We have over $30 billion of cash. We have a $10 billion revolver. We’ve got $40 billion of liquidity. That enabled us to de-lever, which we felt was important to keep us solidly in investment-grade territory, which we wanted to do.
David Zinsner · Chief Financial Officer, Intel
Free cash flow next year, hedged
We are likely to have to make investments in the back end as well, particularly with third parties. That could be a drag to cash flow, next year, and make getting it to a positive number a little bit more challenged.
David Zinsner · Chief Financial Officer, Intel
The ASIC opportunity, sized by the CEO
this is a massive opportunity. I think potentially it’s over $100 billion TAM market, and we have unique opportunity to offer, beside our advanced design capability using our CPU, XPU, and also we have a strong IP portfolio, and we also have the advanced packaging
Lip-Bu Tan · Chief Executive Officer, Intel
The ASIC run rate, in dollars
I would say that today we’re probably running at about a $2 billion run rate, or at least approaching a $2 billion run rate for that business.
David Zinsner · Chief Financial Officer, Intel
Memory is the next bottleneck, and Intel hired for it
the memory become the big supply constraint challenge, and we collaborating with the three big memory vendors. That’s very important to serve our customer, is our number one priority.
Lip-Bu Tan · Chief Executive Officer, Intel

In the order they were said. Pick a name to read only that speaker.

On the call

  • Operator
  • John Pitzer — VP of Investor Relations, Intel
  • Lip-Bu Tan — Chief Executive Officer, Intel
  • David Zinsner — Chief Financial Officer, Intel
  • Ben Reitzes — Analyst, Melius Research
  • Joe Moore — Analyst, Morgan Stanley
  • Stacy Rasgon — Analyst, Bernstein Research
  • Timothy Arcuri — Analyst, UBS
  • Vivek Arya — Analyst, Bank of America Securities
  • CJ Muse — Analyst, Cantor Fitzgerald
  • Aaron Rakers — Analyst, Wells Fargo

About these quotes

Every passage above is quoted verbatim from Intel Corporation's Q2 2026 earnings call of Jul 23, 2026, checked against the recording's transcription word for word. Intel records its second-quarter 2026 results call, and the audio and any written transcription of it belong to Intel and the transcription service. This page therefore quotes from the call rather than reproducing it. The company's own webcast replay and the prepared remarks Lip-Bu Tan and David Zinsner delivered are published on Intel's investor relations site, and that recording is the authoritative version of anything said here. Figures spoken on a call are management's own and are checked against the release before they are used anywhere else on this site.